Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Artificial intelligence based forecasting and optimization model for concentrated solar power system with thermal energy storage
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, 60115, IL, United States.
Department of Engineering, University of Perugia, Via G. Duranti n.67, Perugia, 06125, Italy.
School of Hydropower and Information Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, China.
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Bioeconomy and Health, Biorefinery and Energy.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9888-6852
Show others and affiliations
2025 (English)In: Applied Energy, ISSN 0306-2619, E-ISSN 1872-9118, Vol. 382, article id 125210Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Power tower concentrated solar power systems integrated with thermal energy storage systems offer promising solutions for reliable and cost-effective energy production. This research applies Artificial Intelligence techniques to enhance the operational efficiency, reliability, and economic performance of a power tower system. A comprehensive real-time data-driven optimization model was developed incorporating an AI-based machine learning technique - Random Forest Regressor combined with grid search cross-validation to accurately predict output power. Furthermore, an interdependent dual-parameter optimization was conducted to optimize critical system parameters, including mirror angles and heat transfer fluid flow rates. The proposed model facilitates energy forecasting, performance optimization, and operational decision-making, as well as economic, weather impact, and sensitivity analysis. Economic feasibility was evaluated using Net Present Value and Levelized Cost of Energy calculations, while sensitivity analysis highlighted the system's resilience to variations in fuel prices, discount rates, and technology cost. The results indicate a highly accurate prediction, with a Mean Squared Error of 0.0676 and an R2 score of 0.9999, featuring the model's robustness. Additionally, a weather impact and correlation analysis was conducted to analyze the system's operational capabilities under varying weather conditions. Moreover an environmental impact assessment illustrated the sustainability advantages of integrating thermal energy storage (TES) with the concentrated solar power (CSP) system, particularly in improving energy dispatch and reducing emissions. Overall, integrating the TES significantly enhanced dispatch capabilities, particularly under varying weather scenarios.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd , 2025. Vol. 382, article id 125210
Keywords [en]
Artificial intelligence, Optimization and forecasting model, Power tower concentrated solar power system, Sensitivity and environmental analysis, Thermal energy storage system, Sensitivity analysis, Concentrated solar power, Environmental analysis, Forecasting models, Optimization models, Power towers, Sensitivity analyzes, Solar Power Systems, Thermal energy storage, Thermal energy storage systems, energy storage, forecasting method, model validation, numerical model, optimization, performance assessment, solar power, thermal power
National Category
Energy Engineering Energy Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-79473DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125210Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85213213056OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ri-79473DiVA, id: diva2:2018244
Note

Article; Granskad

Available from: 2025-12-02 Created: 2025-12-02 Last updated: 2025-12-02Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Bartocci, Pietro

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Bartocci, Pietro
By organisation
Biorefinery and Energy
In the same journal
Applied Energy
Energy EngineeringEnergy Systems

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 46 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf