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Future Urban Development: Leveraging AI for Sustainable Decisions
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Built Environment, Building and Real Estate.ORCID iD: 0009-0008-3530-2208
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Digital Systems, Data Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3995-8833
Parametric Solutions AB.
Parametric Solutions AB.
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2025 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The project explored how artificial intelligence (AI), combined with synthetic datasets and rule-based models, can support decision-making in early-stage urban development. Using the generative design platform Hektar as a test bed, the team developed, implemented, and evaluated two complementary computational approaches: a deterministic, explainable algorithm and machine-learning models trained on large-scale synthetic data representing over two million urban plot configurations.The deterministic model demonstrated high precision, achieving less than ±5 % deviation between user-defined targets (FAR, SCR) and resulting outputs for 95 % of test plots. The machine-learning work progressed in two stages. In the first stage, a numerical Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) outperformed a convolutional neural network (CNN) in predicting Site Coverage Ratio (SCR) from compact geometric descriptors. In the second stage, a refined model predicted probability distributions of SCR outcomes, reflecting the stochastic generation of building configurations in the updated Hektar system. Together, these methods established a reproducible workflow that translates user goals into valid spatial outcomes while introducing probabilistic reasoning to early-stage planning.The project demonstrates that small, task-specific AI models can be computationally efficient while delivering substantial benefits. By improving the precision of density and form assessments, such models can contribute to reduced material use, more efficient land allocation, and lower climate impact in the built environment.All predictive models, datasets, and documentation are published openly on GitHub to support further research and industry adoption. By shifting from form generates data to data generates form, the project outlines a scalable pathway toward prescriptive, data-driven urban planning tools capable of supporting more sustainable, evidence-based decisions

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 27
Series
RISE Rapport ; 2025:99
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-79097ISBN: 978-91-90036-88-4 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ri-79097DiVA, id: diva2:2011824
Funder
Vinnova
Note

Vinnova – Utlysning Avancerad och innovativ digitalisering 2024 – ettåriga projekt

Reference group: EttElva arkitekter; AFRY; Elisabeth Flakierska, senior adviser; Camilla Berggren-Tarrodi, RISE

Available from: 2025-11-05 Created: 2025-11-05 Last updated: 2025-11-05Bibliographically approved

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Gösta, AlexanderSütfeld, Leon

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