Towards a holistic prioritization of climate-change risks for bridgesShow others and affiliations
2019 (English)In: 13th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP13, 2019Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]
Although the projected changes in the climate include considerable uncertainties, especially with downscaling, there is irrefutable evidence that the climate is changing at an unprecedented and alarming rate. In recent studies, some of the potential climate-change risks on bridges have been identified. The sheer number of these potential risks provokes two questions. Firstly, for a certain risk of interest (e.g. increased scour rate) which bridges should be prioritized from an inventory of bridges? Secondly, for a specific bridge, which of these risks are more critical? This paper proposes a method that can be used for addressing these two questions while considering the uncertainties intrinsic to the problem. Although this paper focuses on addressing the first question, a discussion on how the proposed method can be used for answering the second is also presented. The suggested method is based on four risk components
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019.
Keywords [en]
Bridges, Risk management, Risks, Scour, Climate change risks, Down-scaling, Potential risks, Prioritization, Risk components, Climate change
National Category
Natural Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-39305Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85083954153ISBN: 979-11-967125-0-1 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ri-39305DiVA, id: diva2:1333931
Conference
13th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP13Seoul, South Korea, May 26-30, 2019
Note
The financial support provided by the Swedish Transport Administration and the strategic innovation program InfraSweden2030 is gratefully acknowledged.
2019-07-022019-07-022025-09-23Bibliographically approved