Nordic forest management towards climate change mitigation: time dynamic temperature change impacts of wood product systems including substitution effectsShow others and affiliations
2022 (English)In: European Journal of Forest Research, ISSN 1612-4669, E-ISSN 1612-4677, Vol. 141, p. 845-Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Climate change mitigation trade-offs between increasing harvests to exploit substitution effects versus accumulating forest carbon sequestration complicate recommendations for climate beneficial forest management. Here, a time dynamic assessment ascertains climate change mitigation potential from different rotation forest management alternatives across three Swedish regions integrating the forest decision support system Heureka RegWise with a wood product model using life cycle assessment data. The objective is to increase understanding on the climate effects of varying the forest management. Across all regions, prolonging rotations by 20% leads on average to the largest additional net climate benefit until 2050 in both, saved emissions and temperature cooling, while decreasing harvests by 20% leads to the cumulatively largest net climate benefits past 2050. In contrast, increasing harvests or decreasing the rotation period accordingly provokes temporally alternating net emissions, or slight net emission, respectively, regardless of a changing market displacement factor. However, future forest calamities might compromise potential additional temperature cooling from forests, while substitution effects, despite probable prospective decreases, require additional thorough and time explicit assessments, to provide more robust policy consultation. © 2022, The Author(s).
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH , 2022. Vol. 141, p. 845-
Keywords [en]
Climate effects, Forest management, Forest-based bioeconomy, Substitution effects, Sweden
National Category
Climate Research
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-59855DOI: 10.1007/s10342-022-01477-1Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85134484678OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ri-59855DiVA, id: diva2:1685269
Note
Funding details: Sveriges Lantbruksuniversitet, SLU; Funding text 1: This study was part of a collaboration project by the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) and Stora Enso Oyj that contributed with in kind and financial support. The authors want to thank Jeannette Eggers and Per-Erik Wikberg for their valuable contributions regarding the Heureka RegWise modelling.
2022-08-022022-08-022023-07-03Bibliographically approved