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An enhanced stochastic operating cycle description including weather and traffic models
Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden.
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Materials and Production, Applied Mechanics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6730-0214
Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden; VTI Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Sweden.
Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden.
2021 (English)In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, ISSN 1361-9209, E-ISSN 1879-2340, Vol. 97, article id 102878Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The present paper extends the concept of a stochastic operating cycle (sOC) by introducing additional models for weather and traffic. In regard to the weather parameters, dynamic models for air temperature, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, precipitation, wind speed and direction are included. The traffic models is instead based on a macroscopic approach which describes the density dynamically by means of a simple autoregressive process. The enhanced format is structured in a hierarchical fashion, allowing for ease of implementation and modularity. The novel models are parametrised starting from data available from external databases. The possibility of generating synthetic data using the statistical descriptors introduced in the paper is also discussed. To investigate the impact of the novel parameters over energy efficiency, a sensitivity analysis is conducted with a combinatorial test design. Simulation results show that both seasonality and traffic conditions are responsible for introducing major variations in the CO2 emissions. © 2021 The Author(s)

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd , 2021. Vol. 97, article id 102878
Keywords [en]
Autoregressive models, CO2 emissions, Operating cycle, Stochastic modelling, Traffic description, Transport mission, Weather description, Atmospheric humidity, Atmospheric pressure, Carbon dioxide, Energy efficiency, Sensitivity analysis, Stochastic models, Wind, Auto regressive models, CO$-2$/ emission, Stochastic-modeling, Stochastics, Traffic modeling, Weather modeling, Stochastic systems
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-55662DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2021.102878Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85110650708OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ri-55662DiVA, id: diva2:1583758
Note

Funding details: Fellowships Fund Incorporated, FFI; Funding details: Energimyndigheten; Funding text 1: The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support from the COVER project (44929–1), funded by the Swedish Energy Agency and the Swedish Vehicle Research and Innovation Programme (FFI).

Available from: 2021-08-09 Created: 2021-08-09 Last updated: 2023-06-07Bibliographically approved

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Johannesson, Pär

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