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Predictive modeling and estimation of moisture damages in Swedish buildings: A machine learning approach
Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2178-5391
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Built Environment, System Transition and Service Innovation.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8107-7768
Lund University, Sweden; The Swedish Federation of Wood and Furniture Industry, Sweden.
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Built Environment, Building and Real Estate. Lund University, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3863-0740
2025 (English)In: Sustainable cities and society, ISSN 2210-6707, Vol. 118, article id 105997Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Identifying potential moisture damage is crucial for maintenance practices and assurance of well-being of oc cupants. However, due to limited information availability and standardization, assessing damage prevalence on the building stock scale remains understudied. By combining investigation records and building databases, this study leverages data analytic techniques and machine learning modeling to characterize damage pathology and predict its occurrence in Swedish buildings. The interrelationships between damage-specific attributes and their associations with building parameters of several damage types were analyzed using feature selection, forming the basis for developing predictive models. Results show that multilabel classifiers outperform binary classifiers for every damage type, with lead tree ensemble models achieving minimum average AUCPR and F2 of 0.85 for microbial growth, 0.87 for deformation, 0.91 for odor, and 0.95 for water leakage. The identified patterns were interpreted and verified against descriptive statistics. The binary relevance models estimate that one-third of school buildings, 20 % of commercial and office buildings, and 15 % of residential dwellings in regional building stock contain moisture damage. These findings advance the quantification of moisture damage by providing new knowledge and approaches for appraising moisture damage likelihood at aggregated and individual building levels, thereby aiding in moisture safety evaluations and preventive maintenance efforts

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 118, article id 105997
National Category
Civil Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-76269DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105997OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ri-76269DiVA, id: diva2:1921122
Note

The research fund comes from Lansf ¨ ors ¨ ¨akringar (County Insurance) for the project predicting moisture damage in existing and new buildings using AI (machine learning) with the program ID P4:22

Available from: 2024-12-13 Created: 2024-12-13 Last updated: 2024-12-13Bibliographically approved

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Wu, Pei-YuJohansson, TimMjörnell, Kristina

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