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A probabilistic approach for handling uncertainty in infrastructure LCA
Lund University, Sweden.
RISE., SP – Sveriges Tekniska Forskningsinstitut.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-5879-7305
IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Sweden.
2016 (engelsk)Inngår i: IABSE Congress Stockholm 2016: Challenges in Design and Construction of an Innovative and Sustainable Built Environment, 2016, s. 1677-1685Konferansepaper, Publicerat paper (Fagfellevurdert)
Abstract [en]

To demonstrate and support sustainability of large-scale infrastructure projects, life cycle assessment (LCA) has become a common tool used in the evaluation of environmental impact. However, LCA includes a number of phases, which are all associated with uncertainties. Decisions made without regard to these uncertainties may be suboptimal and/or misleading. The current paper discusses some important issues about how to deal with uncertainties in LCA. Two case studies are presented that shows the effect of including uncertainty in various parameters. The results show that a reduction in uncertainty due to manufacturing improvements can increase the reliability of the results significantly. It was also found that the uncertainty assumptions for parameters where data is not available have a large impact on the LCA-results.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2016. s. 1677-1685
Emneord [en]
Data quality, Investment decisions, LCA, Probabilistic analysis, Uncertainty
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-27914Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85018979351ISBN: 9783857481444 (tryckt)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ri-27914DiVA, id: diva2:1067234
Konferanse
19th IABSE Congress Stockholm 2016: Challenges in Design and Construction of an Innovative and Sustainable Built Environment, September 21-23, 2016, Stockholm, Sweden
Tilgjengelig fra: 2017-01-20 Laget: 2017-01-20 Sist oppdatert: 2019-08-09bibliografisk kontrollert

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