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Publications (10 of 39) Show all publications
Mangold, M., Bohman, H., Johansson, T. & von Platten, J. (2025). Increased rent misspent?: How ownership matters for renovation and rent increases in rental housing in Sweden. International journal of housing policy, 25(1), Article ID 2405326.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Increased rent misspent?: How ownership matters for renovation and rent increases in rental housing in Sweden
2025 (English)In: International journal of housing policy, ISSN 1949-1247, E-ISSN 1949-1255, Vol. 25, no 1, article id 2405326Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Renovations of the housing rental stock have become a political concern since they have been claimed to drive gentrification and affect tenants’ everyday lives as well as long-term housing conditions. Furthermore, new actors have entered the market, partly as a result of high supply on the international capital markets creating a flow of capital into market segments. This has led to a critique of private equity in the housing sector, and raised the question of the extent to which ownership of the rental stock matters for housing affordability. Yet there seems to be little systematic research on this topic. This study uses a unique dataset covering the entire rental housing stock in Sweden to address whether there are differences in renovation investments between different ownership groups. The purpose of this article is to increase understanding of how ownership affects renovation processes, and specifically to analyse to what extent, and how, private and public actors differ in renovation and rent setting decisions. Our results demonstrate that public housing companies raised rents less and renovated more, particularly in the lower-income segments of the multi-family building stock between 2014 and 2020. © 2023 The Author(s). 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Routledge, 2025
Keywords
affordable housing, Commercialisation, financialisation, ownership, renovation, rents
National Category
Human Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-65969 (URN)10.1080/19491247.2023.2232205 (DOI)2-s2.0-85166927309 (Scopus ID)
Note

 Correspondence Address: M. Mangold; Division of Built Environment, RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Gothenburg, Sweden; email: mikael.mangold@ri.se.  This work was conducted with the financial support of the Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (Formas) (grant number 2017-01546) within the project National Building-Specific Information (NBI).

Available from: 2023-08-22 Created: 2023-08-22 Last updated: 2025-02-21Bibliographically approved
Frisk Garcia, M., Mangold, M. & Johansson, T. (2024). Examining property and neighborhood effects on perceived safety in urban environments: Proximity to square and heights of buildings. Cities, 150, Article ID 105069.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Examining property and neighborhood effects on perceived safety in urban environments: Proximity to square and heights of buildings
2024 (English)In: Cities, ISSN 0264-2751, E-ISSN 1873-6084, Vol. 150, article id 105069Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Residents’ perceived safety is key to improving livelihoods and reducing disparities between neighborhoods in Sweden. Neighborhood interventions may be more cost-effective than individual-level interventions in addressing major societal issues such as unequal levels of safety between neighborhoods. However, most studies investigating the impact of neighborhood characteristics on perceived safety suffer from either poor data quality, too few respondents per statistical unit, large units of analysis, or a lack of longitudinally collected data. This study aims to fill this gap by combining property-specific longitudinal sociodemographic data with customer satisfaction survey data (N = 147,965) collected between 2013–2014 and 2016–2021 in Gothenburg. Using two multilevel models, we examined the relationship between perceived safety and both property-level and area-level structural characteristics, testing three hypotheses. Consistent with prior research, we find that sociodemographic and urban environmental characteristics influenced perceptions of safety. The multilevel analyses reveal that proximity to the square is associated with lower levels of perceived safety, particularly among residents living within 0–100 m of the square in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighborhoods. Moreover, the results show that living in taller buildings of 10–16 floors is associated with lower levels of safety. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd, 2024
Keywords
Sweden; building; housing conditions; hypothesis testing; neighborhood; qualitative analysis; residential satisfaction; risk perception; safety; urban area; urban geography
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-73283 (URN)10.1016/j.cities.2024.105069 (DOI)2-s2.0-85191858332 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2022–00125
Note

The authors would like to thank Helena Bohman at Malmö University and Guilherme Kenjy Chihaya Da Silva at Nord University for the conceptualization and review of this article, and Lars Bankvall at the Framtiden Group who helped us with the data collection. We would like to thank Formas for supporting this work. This project is funded by Formas through the Smart Built Environment programme with grant reference number 2022–00125.

Available from: 2024-05-24 Created: 2024-05-24 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved
Wu, P.-Y., Johansson, T., Mangold, M., Sandels, C. & Mjörnell, K. (2023). Estimating the probability distributions of radioactive concrete in the building stock using Bayesian networks. Expert systems with applications, 222, Article ID 119812.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Estimating the probability distributions of radioactive concrete in the building stock using Bayesian networks
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2023 (English)In: Expert systems with applications, ISSN 0957-4174, E-ISSN 1873-6793, Vol. 222, article id 119812Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The undesirable legacy of radioactive concrete (blue concrete) in post-war dwellings contributes to increased indoor radon levels and health threats to occupants. Despite continuous decontamination efforts, blue concrete still remains in the Swedish building stock due to low traceability as the consequence of lacking systematic documentation in technical descriptions and drawings and resource-demanding large-scaled radiation screening. The paper aims to explore the predictive inference potential of learning Bayesian networks for evaluating the presence probability of blue concrete. By integrating blue concrete records from indoor radon measurements, pre-demolition audit inventories, and building registers, it is possible to estimate buildings with high probabilities of containing blue concrete and encode the dependent relationships between variables. The findings show that blue concrete is estimated to be present in more than 30% of existing buildings, more than the current expert assumptions of 18–20%. The probability of detecting blue concrete depends on the distance to historical blue concrete manufacturing plants, building class, and construction year, but it is independent of floor area and basements. Multifamily houses and buildings built between 1960 and 1968 or nearby manufacturing plants are more likely to contain blue concrete. Despite heuristic, the data-driven approach offers an overview of the extent and the probability distribution of blue concrete-prone buildings in the regional building stock. The paper contributes to method development for pattern identification for hazardous building materials, i.e., blue concrete, and the trained models can be used for risk-based inspection planning before renovation and selective demolition. © 2023 The Author(s)

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd, 2023
Keywords
Bayesian network, Building stock, Methodology, Predictive inference, Radioactive concrete, Risk-based inspection, Concretes, Demolition, Health risks, Probability distributions, Radioactivity, Risk perception, Bayesia n networks, Building stocks, Indoor radon, Manufacturing plant, Predictive inferences, Probability: distributions, Risk-based, Bayesian networks
National Category
Building Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-64306 (URN)10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119812 (DOI)2-s2.0-85150056393 (Scopus ID)
Note

Correspondence Address: Wu, P.-Y., RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Sweden; email: pei-yu.wu@ri.se; Funding details: Stiftelsen för Strategisk Forskning, SSF, FID18-0021; Funding details: Sveriges Geologiska Undersökning, SGU; Funding details: Energimyndigheten, 957026, P2022-00304; Funding text 1: The work is part of the PhD project “Prediction of Hazardous Materials in Buildings using Machine Learning” supported by RISE Research Institutes of Sweden. Special thanks are sent to Cecilia Jelinek from the Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU), who provided information on the radiation measurements with vehicles in the Swedish municipalities.; Funding text 2: The research fund comes from the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research (SSF) with grant number FID18-0021, the Re:Source project from the Swedish Energy Agency with grant number P2022-00304, and the EU BuiltHub project with grant agreement ID of 957026.

Available from: 2023-05-08 Created: 2023-05-08 Last updated: 2024-02-14Bibliographically approved
Wu, P.-Y., Johansson, T., Sandels, C., Mangold, M. & Mjörnell, K. (2023). Indoor radon interval prediction in the Swedish building stock using machine learning. Building and Environment, 245, Article ID 110879.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Indoor radon interval prediction in the Swedish building stock using machine learning
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2023 (English)In: Building and Environment, ISSN 0360-1323, E-ISSN 1873-684X, Vol. 245, article id 110879Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Indoor radon represents a health hazard for occupants. However, the indoor radon measurement rate is low in Sweden because of no mandatory requirements. Measuring indoor radon on an urban scale is complicated, machine learning exploiting existing data for pattern identification provides a cost-efficient approach to estimate indoor radon exposure in the building stock. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models and deep neural network (DNN) models were developed based on indoor radon measurement records, property registers, and geogenic information. The XGBoost models showed promising results in predicting indoor radon intervals for different types of buildings with macro-F1 between 0.93 and 0.96, whereas the DNN models attained macro-F1 between 0.64 and 0.74. After that, the XGBoost models trained on the national indoor radon dataset were transferred to fit building registers in metropolitan regions to estimate the indoor radon intervals in non-measured and measured buildings by regions and building classes. By comparing the prediction results and the statistical summary of indoor radon intervals in measured buildings, the model uncertainty and validity were determined. The study ascertains the prediction performance of machine learning models in classifying indoor radon intervals and discusses the benefits and limitations of the data-driven approach. The research outcomes can assist preliminary large-scale indoor radon distribution estimation for relevant authorities and guide onsite measurements for prioritized building stock prone to indoor radon exposure. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd, 2023
Keywords
Sweden; Buildings; Forecasting; Health hazards; Learning systems; Neural network models; Radon; Uncertainty analysis; Building stocks; Deep learning; Exposure estimation; Indoor radon; Machine-learning; Predictive models; Radon exposure; Radon exposure estimation; Regional building stock; Xgboost; building; geogenic source; indoor radon; machine learning; prediction; Deep neural networks
National Category
Civil Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-67658 (URN)10.1016/j.buildenv.2023.110879 (DOI)2-s2.0-85172459457 (Scopus ID)
Note

This work has received funding from the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research (SSF) [ FID18-0021 ] and the Maj and Hilding Brosenius Research Foundation .

Available from: 2023-11-27 Created: 2023-11-27 Last updated: 2024-02-14Bibliographically approved
Wu, P.-Y., Sandels, C., Johansson, T., Mangold, M. & Mjörnell, K. (2023). Machine learning models for the prediction of polychlorinated biphenyls and asbestos materials in buildings. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 199, Article ID 107253.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Machine learning models for the prediction of polychlorinated biphenyls and asbestos materials in buildings
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2023 (English)In: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, ISSN 0921-3449, E-ISSN 1879-0658, Vol. 199, article id 107253Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Hazardous materials in buildings cause project uncertainty concerning schedule and cost estimation, and hinder material recovery in renovation and demolition. The study aims to identify patterns and extent of polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and asbestos materials in the Swedish building stock to assess their potential presence in pre-demolition audits. Statistics and machine learning pipelines were generated for four PCB and twelve asbestos components based on environmental inventories. The models succeeded in predicting most hazardous materials in residential buildings with a minimum average performance of 0.79, and 0.78 for some hazardous components in non-residential buildings. By employing the leader models to regional building registers, the probability of hazardous materials was estimated for non-inspected building stocks. The geospatial distribution of buildings prone to contamination was further predicted for Stockholm public housing to demonstrate the models’ application. The research outcomes contribute to a cost-efficient data-driven approach to evaluating comprehensive hazardous materials in existing buildings.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier B.V., 2023
Keywords
Demolition; Forecasting; Hazardous materials; Hazards; Housing; Machine learning; Polychlorinated biphenyls; Building stocks; Cost estimations; In-buildings; Machine learning models; Machine-learning; Material recovery; Pre-demolition audit; Probability: distributions; Project uncertainty; Residential building; asbestos; building; demolition; machine learning; modeling; PCB; prediction; probability; Probability distributions
National Category
Building Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-67646 (URN)10.1016/j.resconrec.2023.107253 (DOI)2-s2.0-85174186956 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2023-11-03 Created: 2023-11-03 Last updated: 2024-02-14Bibliographically approved
Mangold, M. (2023). Omtanke som utgångspunkt vid akdemisk handledning. Journal of Teaching and Learning in Higher Education, 4(2)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Omtanke som utgångspunkt vid akdemisk handledning
2023 (Swedish)In: Journal of Teaching and Learning in Higher Education, Vol. 4, no 2Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [sv]

Det är under all kritik att så många doktorander mår dåligt och inte färdigställer sina avhandlingar. Vi mer seniora akademiker har ett medmänskligt ansvar att etablera strukturer som tar hand om våra kollegor. Omtanke om våra doktoranders utveckling behövs då vi designar strukturer för doktorerande så väl som handledande. I denna artikel argumenterar jag för att omtanken om doktorandens utveckling bör vara en utgångspunkt i handledningsarbetet. Med hjälp av omtanke blir det enklare att: hitta rätt nivå för krav och mål, erkänna brister i handledarskapet, prata problem i satta maktrelationer, hantera utmaningar från den våldsamma akademin, med mera. Att bry sig om doktorandens utveckling innebär många olika saker under resans gång. Även om det i artikeln konkretiseras vad omtanke om doktorandens utveckling kan innebära, så är poängen snarare att det blir enklare att inse vad god handledning är, ifall omtanken om doktorandens väl är en utgångpunkt i handledningsarbetet.

Keywords
Care, supervision, PhD students, Omtanke, handledarskap, doktorander
National Category
Health Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-75076 (URN)10.24834/jotl.4.2.873 (DOI)
Available from: 2024-09-16 Created: 2024-09-16 Last updated: 2024-09-16Bibliographically approved
Mangold, M. & Mjörnell, K. (2023). Swedish public and private housing companies’ access to the capital market for financing energy renovation. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 38, 673-697
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Swedish public and private housing companies’ access to the capital market for financing energy renovation
2023 (English)In: Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, ISSN 1566-4910, E-ISSN 1573-7772, Vol. 38, p. 673-697Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The financing of energy efficiency measures and renovations is key to reaching energy efficiency targets for the housing sector. The purpose of this article is to add the Swedish case of how capital market funds have become accessible and used by public and private housing companies, in particular for energy efficiency measures. The core of this article are interviews with representatives of Swedish housing companies made during the spring of 2021 with the purpose of mapping how public and larger private housing companies finance renovation and energy efficiency measures, and to what extent funds from the capital market are used for these purposes. In this article, we have found that capital market funds are commonly used by the Swedish public and the largest private housing companies. Bonds are less costly compared to bank loans, and green bonds are 0.02–0.03 percentage points less costly than conventional bonds. Furthermore, control systems that investigate the values of building portfolios as security for bonds are poor. A conclusion is that governmental control systems over the capital market issuing bonds for the housing market could be needed to avert future housing bubbles. © 2022, The Author(s).

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Science and Business Media B.V., 2023
Keywords
Capital market, Energy efficiency, Financing energy renovation, Housing ownership, Multifamily buildings, Renovation
National Category
Building Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-61422 (URN)10.1007/s10901-022-09996-4 (DOI)2-s2.0-85142215266 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding details: Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas, 2017-01546, 2017‐01449; Funding text 1: This work was funded by The Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (Formas), Grant Numbers 2017‐01449 and 2017-01546, within the project National Building‐Specific Information (NBI).

Available from: 2022-12-07 Created: 2022-12-07 Last updated: 2023-07-06Bibliographically approved
von Platten, J., Mangold, M., Johansson, T. & Mjörnell, K. (2022). Energy efficiency at what cost?: Unjust burden-sharing of rent increases in extensive energy retrofitting projects in Sweden. Energy Research & Social Science, 92, Article ID 102791.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Energy efficiency at what cost?: Unjust burden-sharing of rent increases in extensive energy retrofitting projects in Sweden
2022 (English)In: Energy Research & Social Science, ISSN 2214-6296, E-ISSN 2214-6326, Vol. 92, article id 102791Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Although renovation costs can lead to rent increases in energy retrofitting, it is often assumed that reductions in energy costs will counterbalance the rent increase. In Swedish multifamily housing, energy costs for heating are however generally included as a fixed component in the monthly rent, meaning that the rent increase after energy retrofitting corresponds to the net change in rent level as well as energy costs for heating. This makes Sweden a methodologically advantageous setting for studying tenants' cost burden of energy retrofitting. The aim of this study was thus to investigate how energy performance improvement has affected rent increases in Swedish renovation projects between 2013 and 2019. Utilising a national database of multifamily housing, it was found that energy retrofitting entailed a cost relief for tenants in renovation projects with smaller investments. However, in renovation projects with larger investments, energy retrofitting entailed a cost burden for tenants. Moreover, public housing companies had conducted a high share of the extensive energy retrofits, leading to low-income tenant groups being disproportionately subjected to cost burdens of energy retrofitting. On the contrary, light energy retrofits with a cost relief for energy efficiency had been rather evenly distributed across income groups. These results indicate ongoing conflicts with the ability-to-pay principle in the energy transition of Swedish multifamily housing, and suggest that if low-investment energy retrofits are not sufficient for upcoming objectives and requirements, subsidies could be needed to compensate low-income tenants for the cost burden of extensive energy retrofitting. © 2022 The Author(s)

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd, 2022
National Category
Construction Management
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-60152 (URN)10.1016/j.erss.2022.102791 (DOI)2-s2.0-85137010833 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding details: Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas, 2017-01449; Funding text 1: The authors would like to thank the Swedish National Board of Housing, Building and Planning for their collaboration around this research. This work was supported by The Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (Formas) [grant number 2017-01449] within the project National Building-Specific Information (NBI). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.; Funding text 2: The authors would like to thank the Swedish National Board of Housing, Building and Planning for their collaboration around this research. This work was supported by The Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (Formas) [grant number 2017-01449 ] within the project National Building-Specific Information (NBI). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Available from: 2022-09-29 Created: 2022-09-29 Last updated: 2024-02-14Bibliographically approved
Wu, P.-Y., Mangold, M., Sandels, C., Johansson, T. & Mjörnell, K. (2022). Modeling Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Asbestos-containing Materials in Residential Buildings. Paper presented at SBEfin2022 Emerging Concepts for Sustainable Built Environment (SBEfin2022) 23/11/2022 - 25/11/2022. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1122, Article ID 012050.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Modeling Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Asbestos-containing Materials in Residential Buildings
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2022 (English)In: IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, Vol. 1122, article id 012050Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The presence of hazardous materials inhibits material circularity. The existing residential buildings are exposed to the risk of the unforeseen presence of asbestos-containing materials during the demolition or renovation process. Estimating the potential occurrence of contaminated building components can therefore facilitate semi-selective demolition and decontamination planning. The study aims to investigate the prediction possibility of seven frequently detected asbestos-containing materials by using artificial neural networks based on a hazardous material dataset from pre-demolition audit inventories and national building registers. Through iterative model evaluation and careful hyperparameter tuning, the prediction performance for each asbestos-containing material was benchmarked. A high level of accuracy was obtained for asbestos pipe insulation and ventilation channel, yet barely any patterns were found for asbestos floor mats. Artificial neural networks show potential for classifying specific asbestos components and can enhance the knowledge of their detection patterns. However, more quality data are needed to bring the models into practice for risk assessment for not yet inventoried residential buildings. The proposed screening approach for in situ asbestos-containing materials has high applicability for the quality assurance of recycled materials in circular value chains.

National Category
Building Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-63227 (URN)10.1088/1755-1315/1122/1/012050 (DOI)
Conference
SBEfin2022 Emerging Concepts for Sustainable Built Environment (SBEfin2022) 23/11/2022 - 25/11/2022
Note

The work is part of the PhD project “Prediction of Hazardous Materials in Buildings using Machine Learning” supported by RISE Research Institutes of Sweden. The research fund comes from the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research (SSF) with grant number FID18-0021, and from the EU BuiltHub project with the grant agreement ID 957026. 

Available from: 2023-01-30 Created: 2023-01-30 Last updated: 2024-02-14Bibliographically approved
Wu, P.-Y., Sandels, C., Mjörnell, K., Mangold, M. & Johansson, T. (2022). Predicting the presence of hazardous materials in buildings using machine learning. Building and Environment, 213, Article ID 108894.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Predicting the presence of hazardous materials in buildings using machine learning
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2022 (English)In: Building and Environment, ISSN 0360-1323, E-ISSN 1873-684X, Vol. 213, article id 108894Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Identifying in situ hazardous materials can improve demolition waste recyclability and reduce project uncertainties concerning cost overrun and delay. With the attempt to characterize their detection patterns in buildings, the study investigates the prediction potential of machine learning techniques with hazardous waste inventories and building registers as input data. By matching, validating, and assuring the quality of empirical data, a hazardous material dataset for training, testing, and validation was created. The objectives of the explorative study are to highlight the challenges in machine learning pipeline development and verify two prediction hypotheses. Our findings show an average of 74% and 83% accuracy rates in predicting asbestos pipe insulation in multifamily houses and PCB joints or sealants in school buildings in two major Swedish cities Gothenburg and Stockholm. Similarly, 78% and 83% of recall rates were obtained for imbalanced classification. By correlating the training sample size and cross-validation accuracy, the bias and variance issues were assessed in learning curves. In general, the models perform well on the limited dataset, yet collecting more training data can improve the model's generalizability to other building stocks, meanwhile decreasing the chance of overfitting. Furthermore, the average impact on the model output magnitude of each feature was illustrated. The proposed applied machine learning approach is promising for in situ hazardous material management and could support decision-making regarding risk evaluation in selective demolition work. © 2022 The Author(s)

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd, 2022
Keywords
Asbestos, Circular economy, Hazardous materials, Machine learning, PCB, Pre-demolition audit, Decision making, Demolition, Forecasting, Hazards, Organic pollutants, Cost-overruns, Demolition wastes, Hazardous wastes, In-buildings, Input datas, Machine learning techniques, Project uncertainty, Recyclability, Polychlorinated biphenyls
National Category
Building Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ri:diva-58771 (URN)10.1016/j.buildenv.2022.108894 (DOI)2-s2.0-85124704384 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding details: Stiftelsen för Strategisk Forskning, SSF, FID18-0021; Funding text 1: This research was funded by the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research (SSF) , grant number FID18-0021 .

Available from: 2022-03-04 Created: 2022-03-04 Last updated: 2024-02-14Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-5044-6989

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